China Steel futures pointed out that the rebound of steel continuous trend, but the current bullish momentum is still not sufficient, the market outlook is expected to rebound slightly in the main shock.
19 low main thread opened up, continuing the next day received Yang, but deal shrinkage, reducing nearly 20,000 hand positions. From the position ranking in the top 20 members increased by air, of which 7,000 Shagang by empty hand, pre-main Wing long and short speculative transactions faster conversion, single-reduction efforts to a larger space yesterday, shows that market sentiment cautious, large differences .
Spot market, stock quotes around the extension 19 down, but the decline slowed down, 20-21, 2 Tianhe Steel, Sha Steel ex-factory price will be promulgated in late May, the market up watching atmosphere.
Raw materials, 19 domestic and imported ore mine extension continued to drop, closing tepid to the latest offer of dollars of raw materials, the average after-tax cost of rebar three 4,272 yuan / ton, the spot price per ton than the loss of Shanghai near Maanshan Iron & Steel 200.
Message level, the central bank monetary committee member Li Daokui recently said that high prices for the various control policies will not weaken, but may be overweight. Meanwhile, as prices rose in 2010 a lot of pressure, the conditions of deposit interest rates have been basically established; living building and the governments signed the objectives of the 2010 housing the responsibility to protect the book, all 2010 build affordable housing and shantytowns 5.8 million housing units, reconstruction of rural dangerous 1.2 million, compared with a huge margin in 2009 increased.
Spread, the thread 1010 contract settlement transaction price backwardation than 106 Shanghai, from May 17 to hit a minimum two days since the repair, addition, RB1010 and RB1009 spread 110 yuan / ton, more than the normal range of spreads can be a small participation to sell RB1010 buy RB1009 intertemporal arbitrage.
China Steel futures pointed out that the main thread, two days after eight Lianyin rebound, but the closing price of 19 multi-lighten cause of price cut gains, indicating that kinetic energy is not sufficient to buy more short-term trend of relying on the guidelines surrounding the market. Estimated main thread 20 continue to rise is appropriate oscillation, the oscillation interval of 4,180 to 4,280.
(Ren Wenbin edit)
中鋼期貨指出期鋼延續振蕩回升的可能較大 鉅亨網新聞中心 (來源：世華財訊) 2010-05-20 11:12:43
中鋼期貨指出，期鋼連續反彈走勢，但當前多頭動能仍不充分，預計后市以小幅震蕩回升為主。
螺紋主力19日低位開盤上揚，持續第二天收陽，但成交縮量，持倉減小近兩萬手。從持倉排名來看，前20名會員增多減空，其中沙鋼增空7,000手，前期投機交易主力永安多空轉換較快，昨日空單減持力度較大，表明市場心態慎重，分歧較大。
現貨市場，19日各地現貨報價延續下調，但跌幅減緩，20、21日兩天河鋼、沙鋼將頒布5月下旬出廠價，市場觀望氛圍上升。
原料方面，19日國產礦和進口礦延續低走，成交不溫不火，以原料最新報價計，三級螺紋鋼平均稅后成本為4,272元/噸，較上海馬鋼現貨價每噸虧損近200元。
消息層面，人民銀行貨幣委員會委員李稻葵近日表示，政府針對高房價的各種調控政策不僅不會削弱，反而可能加碼。同時，由於2010年物價攀升壓力很大，存款利率上調的條件已經基本成熟；住建部與地方政府簽署了2010年住房保障工作目標責任書，2010年將共建各類保障性住房和棚戶區改造住房580萬套，改造農村危房120萬戶，較2009年有巨幅度提高。
價差方面，螺紋1010合約結算交易價格較上海現貨升水106，為自5月17日創出最低以來持續兩天修復，另外，RB1010與RB1009價差110元/噸，超過價差正常區間，可少量參與賣RB1010、買RB1009跨期套利交易。
中鋼期貨指出，螺紋主力在八連陰后持續兩天止跌回升，但19日收盤價格多方減倉導致期價縮減漲幅，表明買多動能尚不充分，短期走勢依靠周邊市場指引。估計螺紋主力20日延續以振蕩回升為宜，振蕩區間為4,180至4,280。
(任文彬 編輯)
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